Pre-tourney Rankings
Alabama St.
Southwestern Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.2#320
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#321
Pace64.6#248
Improvement-2.1#251

Offense
Total Offense-10.7#338
Improvement-2.0#265

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#221
Improvement-0.2#167
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 76   @ Marshall L 49-67 3%     0 - 1 -7.9 -18.6 +10.2
  Nov 13, 2011 33   @ Cincinnati L 40-65 2%     0 - 2 -10.9 -25.4 +14.9
  Nov 17, 2011 226   Northwestern St. L 60-67 30%     0 - 3 -13.8 -19.3 +6.1
  Nov 19, 2011 211   @ Jacksonville St. L 65-78 11%     0 - 4 -12.1 -6.1 -5.8
  Nov 29, 2011 113   @ Evansville L 55-62 5%     0 - 5 +0.2 -11.9 +11.5
  Dec 03, 2011 231   @ Florida International W 60-57 14%     1 - 5 +2.6 -5.9 +8.8
  Dec 10, 2011 161   @ Stephen F. Austin L 48-74 8%     1 - 6 -22.1 -11.1 -14.9
  Dec 17, 2011 20   @ Saint Louis L 35-65 1%     1 - 7 -13.5 -21.4 +1.9
  Dec 19, 2011 82   @ Clemson L 45-70 3%     1 - 8 -15.6 -18.7 +1.0
  Dec 22, 2011 119   @ Detroit Mercy L 56-80 5%     1 - 9 -17.2 -19.2 +3.5
  Jan 03, 2012 344   @ Grambling St. W 73-62 69%     2 - 9 1 - 0 -6.3 -0.5 -4.8
  Jan 05, 2012 333   @ Jackson St. W 81-78 3OT 45%     3 - 9 2 - 0 -8.0 -8.6 +0.0
  Jan 07, 2012 243   Mississippi Valley L 60-67 35%     3 - 10 2 - 1 -15.2 -13.4 -2.2
  Jan 09, 2012 329   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 62-56 66%     4 - 10 3 - 1 -10.4 -20.8 +10.2
  Jan 14, 2012 336   Alabama A&M W 53-50 73%     5 - 10 4 - 1 -15.6 -24.5 +9.1
  Jan 21, 2012 335   @ Alcorn St. L 60-61 46%     5 - 11 4 - 2 -12.3 -4.8 -7.7
  Jan 23, 2012 316   @ Southern L 56-68 36%     5 - 12 4 - 3 -20.4 -12.2 -9.4
  Jan 28, 2012 330   Prairie View L 57-64 66%     5 - 13 4 - 4 -23.4 -19.5 -3.8
  Jan 30, 2012 276   Texas Southern W 66-59 OT 42%     6 - 13 5 - 4 -3.1 -7.7 +4.6
  Feb 04, 2012 243   @ Mississippi Valley L 58-70 16%     6 - 14 5 - 5 -13.4 -16.4 +3.3
  Feb 06, 2012 329   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 61-62 40%     6 - 15 5 - 6 -10.6 -8.9 -1.7
  Feb 11, 2012 336   @ Alabama A&M W 57-47 48%     7 - 15 6 - 6 -1.8 -12.9 +12.4
  Feb 18, 2012 335   Alcorn St. W 78-63 71%     8 - 15 7 - 6 -3.1 -2.9 -0.2
  Feb 20, 2012 316   Southern L 53-55 62%     8 - 16 7 - 7 -17.2 -16.4 -1.1
  Feb 25, 2012 276   @ Texas Southern L 59-67 20%     8 - 17 7 - 8 -11.3 -13.5 +2.5
  Feb 27, 2012 330   @ Prairie View L 59-62 40%     8 - 18 7 - 9 -12.6 -16.2 +3.8
  Mar 01, 2012 344   Grambling St. W 63-61 87%     9 - 18 8 - 9 -22.1 -11.9 -10.0
  Mar 03, 2012 333   Jackson St. W 49-46 71%     10 - 18 9 - 9 -14.8 -25.3 +10.7
  Mar 08, 2012 329   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 56-60 OT 53%     10 - 19 -17.0 -20.0 +2.8
Projected Record 10.0 - 19.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%